Focus on one value from the original permutation. The positions containing that value in the final array form one contiguous interval, possibly empty. What bounds this interval?

After operations $$$1,\ldots,i$$$, view the current permutation as an interleaving of two subsequences. The processed values $$$1,\ldots,i$$$ must already appear in their relative order in $$$P$$$, because they will never move again. The untouched values $$$i+1,\ldots,N$$$ still appear in increasing relative order. At operation $$$i+1$$$, track how that value moves from the untouched subsequence to the processed one.

Start from $$$P$$$ and undo the moves in the order $$$N,N-1,\ldots,1$$$. To undo the move of $$$x$$$, remove $$$x$$$ from the processed subsequence and place it before all values of the untouched subsequence $$$x+1,\ldots,N$$$, making $$$x$$$ its first element. How does the position of this first untouched element change as you continue undoing the moves?

Build a graph with one vertex for each value. For every mirrored pair with unequal values, add an edge between those values. Repairing that pair requires using the value at one endpoint, and each value can be used only once. How can you assign the edges to their endpoints?

Consider a connected component with $$$v$$$ vertices and $$$e$$$ edges. If $$$e=v-1$$$, it is a tree: any one vertex may be left unused. If $$$e=v$$$, every vertex is needed. If $$$e \gt v$$$, repairing all its mirrored pairs is impossible.

A direct DP tracking all six possible triples and the inversion sum has roughly $$$O(N^7)$$$ states. Instead, examine how a pair of positions contributes to the sum of inversions. Each triple $$$(A_i,B_i,C_i)$$$ is one of only $$$3!=6$$$ possibilities. What does the pairwise contribution table reveal?

Split the six triples into $$$G_0={123,231,312}$$$ and $$$G_1={132,213,321}$$$. For two positions whose triples belong to different groups, exactly one of the three coordinates contributes an inversion, regardless of their order. What does this make the total contribution between the groups?

The convexity condition says that consecutive differences are nondecreasing. Fix the leftmost position attaining the minimum. How can the sequence on either side be built from simple changes that can be repeated independently? A basic ramp of length $$$r$$$ contributes $$$1+2+\cdots+r=r(r+1)/2$$$ to the total sum.