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Milashka's blog

When will AI surpass humanity in CP?
By Milashka, 21 month(s) ago, In English

Make your predictions, when will AI surpass the level of best competitive programmers of our time, such as tourist, jiangly, zhoukangyang and others? For instance, before 2030 or not?

It would also be nice to have something similar to Deep Blue vs Kasparov matches, or maybe humanity vs AI matches, where we have many people solving in a coordinated manner as a team vs a powerful AI allocating its resources to many problems

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21 month(s) ago, hide # |
 
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Before 2030 for sure. I think next year. There are some predictions here https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/top-score-on-codeforces-by-an-ai-mo

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21 month(s) ago, hide # |
 
Vote: I like it +34 Vote: I do not like it

never

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21 month(s) ago, hide # |
 
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never

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21 month(s) ago, hide # |
 
Vote: I like it +16 Vote: I do not like it

Before GTA 6

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21 month(s) ago, hide # |
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approximately 2045, law of diminishing return exists. being Top 1 LGM is x1000 harder than being CM from gray probably.

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21 month(s) ago, hide # |
 
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Jan 2026 We'll see AI beat tourist.

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21 month(s) ago, hide # |
 
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My bold prediction: August 8th, 2025

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